Comments on: Buy and Hold Myth Part 6 http://www.doctrader.com/2009/10/buy-and-hold-myth-part-6/ FINANCIAL :: SECRETS Mon, 07 Dec 2009 01:54:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Doctrader http://www.doctrader.com/2009/10/buy-and-hold-myth-part-6/comment-page-1/#comment-731 Doctrader Tue, 06 Oct 2009 15:26:13 +0000 http://www.doctrader.com/?p=684#comment-731 Hey David, The market works in cycles so after every sell off there is a rebound. A new bull market will emerge as a cyclical bull market, lasting only 18-36 months, but not lasting 18 years like in 1982-2000. The point of the video was to dispel the myth about buying and holding, vs using a market timing model. To hold stocks long in 18 year bear markets since 2000, investors, 401k, pension plans, will all be affected negatively through taxes and inflation. The bounce from march lows is already 8 months old, the first bounce up to the 180 day moving average is the fastest, but for those who didn't sell at in July 2008, they are still waiting to make a profit. Doc Hey David,
The market works in cycles so after every sell off there is a rebound. A new bull market will emerge as a cyclical bull market, lasting only 18-36 months, but not lasting 18 years like in 1982-2000. The point of the video was to dispel the myth about buying and holding, vs using a market timing model. To hold stocks long in 18 year bear markets since 2000, investors, 401k, pension plans, will all be affected negatively through taxes and inflation. The bounce from march lows is already 8 months old, the first bounce up to the 180 day moving average is the fastest, but for those who didn’t sell at in July 2008, they are still waiting to make a profit.

Doc

]]> By: David http://www.doctrader.com/2009/10/buy-and-hold-myth-part-6/comment-page-1/#comment-728 David Sun, 04 Oct 2009 00:27:52 +0000 http://www.doctrader.com/?p=684#comment-728 Thanks for the video. So is it strictly timing (you mention bears last 24-27 months) as of why the recent bounce above the 180 DMA is not indication of a new bull? Why do you feel we are going to test the lows, it doesn't appear that the lows were tested in your previous examples after a bounce above the 180 DMA? Thanks for the video. So is it strictly timing (you mention bears last 24-27 months) as of why the recent bounce above the 180 DMA is not indication of a new bull? Why do you feel we are going to test the lows, it doesn’t appear that the lows were tested in your previous examples after a bounce above the 180 DMA?

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